megawatt.fun

Notes

A public-data suite

Independent analysis, not affiliated with Base Power. Public data only. Two questions, then the notes that sit beside them.

How long does a new market take to open?

The public record can say whether a state is a retail-choice path or a utility partnership, and whether it already has a wholesale market and batteries on the books. It cannot say Base’s actual onboarding time.

Where to look next

Can a lender underwrite one home battery?

Historical ERCOT load-zone prices say what one battery would have earned. They do not say Base’s cost of debt, or when a slower launch would have started that revenue.

Financing a home battery

Where to look next

States and utility territories, with a retail-choice path marked separately from the rest of the score. A start-here list, adjustable weights, and a line on what was not retrieved.

Financing a home battery

One 39.2 kWh battery on day-ahead load-zone prices, 2018 through 2025. Median, low tail, and worst year, then an illustrative loan that gets more expensive if revenue starts later.

Where batteries earn the most

Which Houston, North, and South resource nodes cleared farthest above their load zone from 27 September through 28 October 2026. A price gap, not a payoff, under zonal settlement.

Make, move, store, sell

Which of those four jobs change the Kardashev numerator, and which public products sit on them.